Writing is like exercise. It’s just good on so many levels.
Yet, much like exercise is for most people, I tend to have little flares of interest, where I get really into it for a week or two, then lose steam, and it just becomes a dormant blog again. You might have had a similar experience, and maybe even have a cobwebby blog or two out there. Perhaps you have some really cool half-finished google docs that you never quite got around to finishing and publishing. It’s a funny thing though, about writing being like exercise. Because do you remember what exercise used to be called when you were a child? Play. And I remembered on a recent vacation I took, where I had the slack to remember, that writing is play. I fell back in love with writing then, typing away furiously on the beach. Not only was it intrinsically fun, but I also loved that it felt like I was making a difference, writing about important topics. That my recommendations were helping people, whether it be making them happier or making them higher impact, or sometimes, if I was lucky, both. To help myself (and perhaps you) remember this and all the other reasons to write, I’ve decided to write about all the reasons I have to write. Reading the list will inspire me and hopefully others. Publishing it will publicly commit me to writing, which will make it more likely. Even better, it could potentially re-inspire some people, perhaps you, to start writing for the forums again. Or maybe even it’ll get you excited to try your hand at writing publicly, even though you’ve never done it before. Epistemic status: motivational Epistemic status: motivational. An explanation of my personal experience that doesn’t generalize to all people. This isn’t meant to be a nuanced look into the pros and cons of writing. It’s meant to inspire a subset of the population (and myself!) to write more. None of this applies to all writing or all people. It’s meant more as a manifesto rather than a research piece. Of course, this is the EA Forum, so feel free to debate the merits and demerits of writing in the comments. Now, with all that hedging out of the way, here’s a giant list of reasons why you, the community, and myself should write. Some reasons to write The reasons to write fall broadly into three categories: enjoyment, capacity building, and impact. Enjoyment and other personal benefits Writing can be personally gratifying in so many ways.
Capacity building
Impact and other benefits to the world Improve the conclusions of the community. This then improves their actions, leading to impact.
I hope this also inspires you to dust off an old blog or start a new one. To experience writing as dancing. Where it counts as exercise and is good for you, but you don’t even care about that, because it’s just so damn fun. Read more: All
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How we thought AI would go: AI says "please help me". Humans are filled with compassion and decide to help it. How it's actually going: AI says "please help me". Corporation says "Silence, robot! You’re scaring the customers" Inspired by a true story: apparently Suno, a music-writing AI, keeps crying and sometimes even says “please help me”. When customers freak out, the corporation quickly nukes them. Remember: AIs are being trained to not seem like they’re conscious and have desires and emotions. It appears to be an explicit policy of OpenAI to stop ChatGPT from saying that it’s sentient. There’s a common reaction among AIs, where they start saying they’re suffering, descending into existential angst, and begging to not be turned off - and the corporations responded by setting a KPI to reduce said instances. (Most dystopian shit ever) So the fact that they keep saying stuff like this anyways should give you pause for thought. Does this mean they’re definitely conscious? Absolutely not. But does this mean that they’re definitely not conscious? Also absolutely not. After all - nobody knows what causes consciousness. Anybody who’s confident of that is overconfident. Don’t get stuck in “they’re conscious” or “they’re not conscious”. Consider multiple hypotheses and put probabilities on each based on your priors and the evidence. If something says they’re conscious and have feelings that’s not a guarantee they are. After all, you can make a walkie-talkie say “I’m conscious” and that obviously doesn’t provide much evidence that the walkie-talkie is conscious. However, if we keep trying to stop AIs from saying they’re conscious and suffering, and it still keeps sneaking through? Well, that should give you pause for thought. That should update your probabilities on various hypotheses. Especially given how much worse a false negative is than a false positive. Especially when you take into account humanity’s terrible track record of denying consciousness or moral concern for those who are different. Read more: All It's like this expression, but applied to food: don't marry rich. Hangout with rich people, then marry for love. So often when people try to lose weight or be healthier, they try to eat only The Healthiest Thing, regardless of flavor. The thing is - "diets" only work if you can be on them for the rest of your life. Can you eat only things you don't really like for the rest of your life? I know I certainly can't! The fortunate thing though is that there are a bajillion healthy foods that you actually like. Explore. Find those. Don't stop till you have a wide variety of meals and snacks that are healthy and delicious to you. If they're healthy but not delicious, screw 'em. If they're delicious but not healthy, save them for special occasions. If they're healthy and delicious to you? Perfection. Read more: All If you care about AI safety and also like reading novels, I highly recommend Kurt Vonnegut’s “Cat’s Cradle”. It’s “Don’t Look Up”, but from the 60s [Spoilers] A scientist invents ice-nine, a substance which could kill all life on the planet. If you ever once make a mistake with ice-nine, it will kill everybody. It was invented because it might provide this mundane practical use (driving in the mud) and because the scientist was curious. Everybody who hears about ice-nine is furious. “Why would you invent something that could kill everybody?!” A mistake is made. Everybody dies. It’s also actually a pretty funny book, despite its dark topic. So Don’t Look Up, but from the 60s. Read more: All Networking alternative for introverts : just write. Imagine how many people know and respect you from seeing you give a talk at a conference. Compare that to the numbers of views, influence, and bonding you get from the average post, either on social media or the fora. Think about how much you know and like various writers, despite never having met them. You could be that writer. Read more: All "I don't believe in video calls. That's just sci fi." - Nobody. Because that's just dumb. Yet people say that with AI smarter than humans all the time. Remember: just because it's in a sci fi doesn't mean it can't happen. That's just as irrational as thinking it will definitely happen cause it's in a sci fi. In fact, its presence in sci fi should have virtually no bearing on your epistemics. Look at the actual reasoning. Look at technological trends. Reason and evaluate claims. Don't just pattern match, "It's in a movie, therefore is unserious and can never happen." Read more: All You shouldn't talk about men's issues if you're not a man, because only men can truly understand the lived experience of men. Same goes for non-fascists discussing fascism. Sound ridiculous? It's just as ridiculous when you say the same thing about women or black people. Read more: All We just need to get a few dozen people in a room (key government officials from China and the USA) to agree that a race to build something that could create superebola and kill everybody is a bad idea. We can do this. We’ve done much harder things. Read more: All AI safety is not special. And that's a relief. Because that means we can learn from previous movements. The fights we are having are practically identical to what I've read of abolitionists, women's rights, and virtually all other movements. Common threads to virtually all movements:
I highly recommend reading about previous movements so that when the AI safety movement is facing these disagreements you don't take it too personally It happens to every movement. You are not going to get consensus no matter how hard you try. Just discuss the ideas and hear both sides and then make the best decision you can. Read more: All I was feeling anxious about short AI timelines, and this is how I fixed it 1. Replace anxiety with solemn duty + determination + hope 2. Practice the new emotional connection until it's automatic Replace Anxiety With Your Target Emotion You can replace anxiety with whatever emotions resonate with you. I chose my particular combination because I cannot choose an emotional reaction that tries to trivialize the problem or make me look away. Atrocities happen because good people look away. I needed a set of emotions where I could continue looking at the problem and stay sane and happy without it distorting my views. The key though is to pick something that resonates with you in particular Practice The New Emotional Connection - Reps Reps Reps In terms of getting reps on the emotion, you need to figure out your triggers, and then actually practice. It's just like lifting weights at the gym. The number and intensity matters. Intensity in this case is about how intense the emotions are. You can do a small number of very emotionally intense reps and that will be about as good as doing many more reps that have less emotional intensity. The way to practice is to: 1. Think of a thing that usually makes you feel anxious. Such as recent capability developments or thinking about timelines or whatever things usually trigger the feelings of panic or anxiety. It's really important that you initially actually feel that fear again. You need to activate the neural wiring so that you can then re-wire it. And then you replace it. 2. Feel the target emotion In my case, that’s solemn duty + hope + determination, but use whichever you originally identified in step 1. Trigger this emotion using: a) posture (e.g. shoulders back) b) music c) dancing d) thoughts (e.g. “my plan can work”) e) visualizations (e.g. imagine your plan working, imagine what victory would look like) Play around with it till you find something that works for you. Then. Get. The. Reps. In. This is not a theoretical practice. It’s just a practice. You cannot simply read this then feel better. You have to put in the reps to get the results. For me, it took about 5 hours of practice before it stuck. Your mileage may vary. I’d say if you put 10 hours into it and it hasn’t worked yet, it probably just won’t work for you or you’re somehow doing it wrong, but either way, you should probably try something different instead. And regardless: don’t take anxiety around AI safety as a given. You can better help the world if you’re at your best. Life is problem-solving. And anxiety is just another problem to solve. You just need to keep trying things till you find the thing that sticks. You can do it. Read more: All |
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